Keys to Victory |
Advantage |
Factor |
Why |
Home Field Advantage | Anand | *Medium | The match is taking place
in Anand' home city Chennai India. The players are staying and playing
in the same hotel, so that should minimize this advantage, but this
could be a wild card and have greater impact. How much of an impact, we
will have wait and see. |
World Championship Match Experience | Anand | *Big | This issue cuts both
ways. It is true that world championship match experience can be very
important, especially for a young player like Magnus Carlsen. Lack of
experience had a detrimental affect on
Kasparov
in 1984 and caused him to lose 4 out of 11 games. However for a young
Mikhail Tal this was not the case. In 1960 as challenger he took control
of the match from game one and never looked back However it can
also have a detrimental affect on the player with a lot of experience.
The World Champion Mikhail Botvinnik said that each world championship
match takes a year off a players life. Defending the title can cause a
lot of wear and tear on a player. This is Anand's 4th world championship
match in 5 years and 5th overall if you just count Fide world
championships. Playing the top players of the world can give a champion great
experience, but it can also wear a champion down. A world champion only has so many great title defenses in him. This Anand's third defense. Few champions defend sucessfully that many times and even fewer successfully defend a third time. Does Anand have one more great defense in him. How much a factor is this? We will just have to wait and see. |
Head to Head Match | Anand | Small | Anand leads in the overall
head to head
with 6-3 with 20 draws. Their first match was in 2005 at Ciudad de
Leon XVII. Anand defeated Carlsen 2-0 with 2 draws. |
Current Head to Head Trend | Carlsen | Big | Carlsen clearly has a advantage based on the
last 8 games.
His record is 2-0 with 6 draws .Carlsen won both games in under 31 moves.
|
Current Playing Trend | Carlsen | Big |
Carlsen since 2010 has been the most dominating
player in the world.
Anand
results the last three years are not world
champion caliber. |
Rating Difference | Even | Small | Carlsen is rated 2870 and has almost a 100 point advantage in
rating and he is the highest rated player in the history of the game,
but let's not forget that Anand, whose rating is 2775, is the World Champion. |
Opening Knowledge | Anand | *Medium |
Anand has acquired a tremendous amount of opening knowledge that he has
developed over the last 20 years. Carlsen doesn't have any where near
that much experince. However,
Kasparov's mentoring of Carlsen
has helped close this gap. |
Team | Anand | *Medium | Anand has 4 seconds
for this match, including
Peter Leko a former top 5 player
and challenger for the
2004 World Championship.
Carlsen has not divulged all the members of his team, so this
could have an unknown impact on the match. The most important
teammates just might be the non-playing ones. The most important team
member for Anand, might be his wife.
Anand
is
playing the greatest talent he has ever
seen. He knows this will be a very tough match and his toughest
challenge. For Carlsen, his most important team member might be his cook.
His cook has to keep Carlsen healthy and minimize the effects of Anand's
home field advantage. |
Anand's Wild Card | Anand | *Big | Will playing in his
home town inspire Anand? Can he summon his
world championship match experience and great playing abilities in order
to bring
the 9th pawn
with him to the table? Is he a confident world champion? All indicators say that he
might not bring the 9th pawn. Kasparov failed to bring the 9th pawn with
him during his failed defense against
Kramnik in 2000. |
Carlsen's Wild Card | Carlsen | *Big | Carlsen is the highest rated player in the
history of the game. His current playing trends against the world and
especially against Anand. should give him
the confidence to win
this match. However youth, lack of world championship match
experience, and playing in another country with different food and culture
could adversely impact him. |
Who is going to win | Carlsen | *Big | There should be a changing of the guard. Let's face it, Carlsen playing with a hot hand. Why the *wild card? that's why they play the match. |