Keys to victory |
Advantage |
Factor |
Why |
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| Home Field |
Carlsen |
small |
Match location is in London, Magnus was born and raised in Norway.
Caruana spit his time in Europe and the US. |
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| World Championship Match Experience |
Carlsen |
Big |
This is Carlsen's 4th World Championship Match, his third third
defense. Caruana is entering his first match for the world title. |
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| Head to Head |
Carlsen |
Big |
Carlsen leads 23-11-24 in classical games its 10-5-20. Stats for
games gotten from chessgames.com |
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| Head to Head Trend |
Carlsen |
Big |
Carlsen leads 2-0-5. |
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| Tie Breaker |
Carlsen |
Big |
Tie breaker consists of Rapid-Blitz. Carlsen is 2900 plus
rapid-blitz player. Caruana is 2750 player.
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| Current Playing Trend |
Carlsen |
Big |
Carlsen only lost 9 games in 2018. Caruana has lost 45. Carlsen is a
2900 plus player is rapid-blitz and Caruana is just 2750 in those
categories. Carlsen processes chess faster. Caruana Knows this.
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| rating difference |
Even |
small |
both players are rated 2800 plus, Magnus is 2835 Caruana is 2832.
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| Opening Knowledge |
Even |
medium |
Both players are well versed in openings. |
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| Team |
Unknown |
*Unknown |
Team could have a huge factor, but this its unknown. According to
Anand , Magnus is very difficult to play. Does Caruana have the best
team? A team that can help him defeat the greatest player in the world?
I hope he spoke to Vladimir Kramnik.
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| Carlsen's Wild Card |
Carlsen |
*Big |
Caruana world championship match inexperience. Its has hurt other
challengers Nigel Short, Garry Kasparov. This could be a factor and
possibly the deciding factor in this match.
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| Caruana's Wild Card |
Caruana |
*Big |
This is Carlsen's third title defense. Many a champion have failed
in their third defense, Alekhine, Kramnik, Anand, Karpov, Botvinnik.
This could be a huge factor. Carlsen is on record in his dislike of
match play format for world championship.
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| Who will Win? |
Carlsen |
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It just adds up to Carlsen. |
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